Surveillance and scoring

Cameras, feeds, ratings and prediction: the watched life, from Seahaven to the social credit score.

Pieces
12
73%
Predictions tracked
46

12 pieces on Nearfi: 11 reviews and 1 essay. Across their 46 tracked predictions, 24 have arrived, 11 are arriving, 4 are near, 1 are far off and 6 went another way. The average P(n) is 73%. Closest to now: Little Brother at 99%. Furthest: Minority Report at 56%.

Already here
  • ARRIVED Cheap, privately owned cameras everywhere feed a network that the public and the police can search. The Circle · 2025
  • ARRIVED An ordinary person's daily life is broadcast live, around the clock, to a public audience. The Truman Show · 2007
  • ARRIVED A hit show is built around one real person who doesn't know everyone around him is an actor. The Truman Show · 2023
  • ARRIVING Ordinary people wear a device that continuously records what they hear and see, so their day can be replayed later. Black Mirror: The Entire History of You
  • ARRIVING Protesters use encrypted phone-to-phone mesh networks to organise without the internet and out of sight of the authorities. Little Brother
Coming next
  • ARRIVING One real-name account holds a person's identity, logins and payments across the web. The Circle · est. 2029
  • ARRIVING Quantum computers solve problems that no classical computer can solve in practice. Devs · est. 2030
  • ARRIVING Software predicts individual human choices more accurately than our best theories of human behaviour. Devs · est. 2030
  • ARRIVING Surveillance cameras identify people by the way they walk. Little Brother · est. 2030
  • ARRIVING A wearable device lets you identify and size up the strangers around you in real time, pulling up who they are as you look at them. Super Sad True Love Story · est. 2031

The guide: Sci-Fi About Surveillance: 10 Stories About Being Watched, Scored and Recorded →

115 futures, pulled onto one line
Essay · Power12 min

Minority Report Was Wrong About the Crime

Spielberg's film thought prediction would be used to catch us. It turned out to be far more profitable to finish us.

Film reviewARRIVED

Good Afternoon, Good Evening, Good Night

8.8The Truman Show, 1998

Peter Weir's comedy about a man who is the last to know he's on television predicted almost everything about the next thirty years, except that we'd climb into the dome by choice.

Episode reviewARRIVING

Rewind Is Not a Cure

8.5Black Mirror: The Entire History of You, 2011

Jesse Armstrong's 44-minute marriage autopsy is the best thing in Black Mirror's first series, and its gadget is now a feature you can switch on in Windows settings.

Series reviewARRIVING

No Escape Key

8.4Severance, 2022

Apple's office horror is the most beautiful thing ever made about a cubicle, and its sharpest prophecy has nothing to do with the chip in Mark's head.

The reading that didn't line up
Film reviewARRIVING

Minority Report

8.3Minority Report, 2002

Spielberg's sleekest machine is a chase film with a philosophy degree, and it predicted almost everything except where we'd be looking.

Novel reviewARRIVED

Your Number Arrives Before You Do

7.3Super Sad True Love Story, 2010

Gary Shteyngart's 2010 satire got the pendant, the feed and the ranking almost exactly right, then staged the end of America as a bank run that never came.

Film reviewARRIVING

Real Time Costs Extra

7.2Strange Days, 1995

Kathryn Bigelow's millennium-eve thriller invented a machine that records memories, then accidentally predicted the far more important device in every bystander's pocket.

Episode reviewARRIVING

Pastel Is a Threat Level

7.1Black Mirror: Nosedive, 2016

Black Mirror's prettiest hour imagined one glowing score for every human being. We built a thousand small ones instead, and hid most of them.

Film reviewARRIVING

The Eyelash Always Testifies

7.1Gattaca, 1997

Andrew Niccol's gorgeous, schematic debut guessed the technology almost exactly and cast the wrong villain. The gatekeeper turned out to be the parents.

Novel reviewARRIVED

Gravel in Your Shoes

6.9Little Brother, 2008

Cory Doctorow wrote his teenage hacker novel in eight furious weeks in 2007. It's half thriller, half instruction manual, and the manual is the part that came true.

Series reviewARRIVING

The Statue Doesn't Move

6.4Devs, 2020

Alex Garland's quantum-computer miniseries is the most beautiful thing on this list and the most inert. Its machine is impossible, but its tech campus is exactly right.

Novel reviewARRIVING

Right About Everything, Except People

5.4The Circle, 2013

Dave Eggers's campus satire predicted the doorbell camera, the genealogy dragnet and the single login, and still reads like a lecture delivered through a megaphone.

More themes: AI and machine minds · Space · Climate and scarcity · Pandemics and collapse · Borders and migration · Clones and genetics · Grief and technology · Memory · Work