# Did The Peripheral (2014) come true?

Partly. The Peripheral (2014) has a P(n) of 66% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 1 have arrived and 2 are arriving. Its central premise, 'People are paid to operate human-shaped bodies in distant places by remote control, seeing and acting through the machine in real time', is partly here. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2032.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/the-peripheral

## Predictions

- **ARRIVING** (weight 5/5): People are paid to operate human-shaped bodies in distant places by remote control, seeing and acting through the machine in real time. Estimated 2032 (range 2028–2045).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 3/5): Cheap, remotely piloted quadcopters are a routine tool of surveillance and killing, flown by operators who are not at the scene. Arrived 2022.
- **FAR** (weight 4/5): A slow cascade of climate change, drought, famine, pandemics and political collapse kills about four in five of the world's people. Estimated 2150 (range 2090–2300).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 2/5): Ordinary small-town businesses make everyday goods on demand with 3D printers. Estimated 2035 (range 2030–2050).