# Did Snowpiercer (2013) come true?

Mostly not yet. Snowpiercer (2013) has a P(n) of 32% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 1 have arrived and 1 are arriving. Its central premise, 'A cooling intervention overshoots and tips the whole planet into a lasting global ice age within a few years', is still far off. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2040.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/snowpiercer-2013

## Predictions

- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): Someone deliberately releases a chemical or aerosol into the stratosphere to cool the planet, without agreement from those affected. Estimated 2040 (range 2030–2060).
- **FAR** (weight 5/5): A cooling intervention overshoots and tips the whole planet into a lasting global ice age within a few years. Estimated 2150 (range 2090–2300).
- **FAR** (weight 4/5): Thousands of people live for years inside a sealed, self-sustaining vehicle that recycles all their air, water and food. Estimated 2100 (range 2065–2200).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 2/5): Insects are processed into a mass-produced protein food. Arrived 2022.