# Did Rainbows End (2006) come true?

Largely, yes. Rainbows End (2006) has a P(n) of 78% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 0 have arrived and 3 are arriving. Its central premise, 'Medicine can restore a person with advanced Alzheimer's disease to a functioning, independent life', is expected within 50 years. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2030.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/rainbows-end

## Predictions

- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): Most people use wearable displays (eyewear or contact lenses) with gesture or silent input as their everyday interface to the network. Estimated 2032 (range 2029–2042).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): A university library's printed collection is destroyed in bulk by automated scanning and kept only as digital files. Estimated 2030 (range 2027–2040).
- **NEAR** (weight 5/5): Medicine can restore a person with advanced Alzheimer's disease to a functioning, independent life. Estimated 2050 (range 2038–2075).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): Machine-generated persuasion, tuned to the individual and delivered through their own devices, reliably shifts what people believe. Estimated 2030 (range 2027–2040).