# Did Okja (2017) come true?

Largely, yes. Okja (2017) has a P(n) of 83% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 1 have arrived and 2 are arriving. Its central premise, 'A corporation engineers a new kind of food animal and sells its meat to the public', is partly here. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2030.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/okja-2017

## Predictions

- **ARRIVING** (weight 5/5): A corporation engineers a new kind of food animal and sells its meat to the public. Estimated 2030 (range 2027–2040).
- **NEAR** (weight 3/5): Livestock are engineered to be far larger and more efficient than conventional animals, eating less and producing less waste. Estimated 2045 (range 2035–2070).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 3/5): Undercover or leaked footage from inside industrial animal facilities reaches the public and shapes the debate. Arrived 2012.
- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): A corporation launches a new kind of meat, branded as natural and low-footprint, and pitches it as an answer to feeding a growing population. Estimated 2035 (range 2029–2050).