# Did Mrs. Davis (2023) come true?

Largely, yes. Mrs. Davis (2023) has a P(n) of 80% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 0 have arrived and 3 are arriving. Its central premise, 'A single AI assistant is used by most of humanity, to the point that declining to use it is a notable choice', is partly here. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2030.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/mrs-davis-2023

## Predictions

- **ARRIVING** (weight 5/5): A single AI assistant is used by most of humanity, to the point that declining to use it is a notable choice. Estimated 2032 (range 2028–2040).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): Large numbers of people turn to an AI for spiritual guidance and ultimate questions, and religious institutions have to respond. Estimated 2032 (range 2028–2040).
- **FAR** (weight 3/5): An AI has ended war and famine worldwide. Estimated 2100 (range 2065–2200).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 3/5): People carry the assistant with them and consult it constantly for direction in daily life. Estimated 2030 (range 2027–2036).