# Did Machines Like Me (2019) come true?

Partly. Machines Like Me (2019) has a P(n) of 69% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 0 have arrived and 3 are arriving. Its central premise, 'Humanlike synthetic people, with conversational minds, are sold to private individuals to live in their homes', is partly here. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2030.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/machines-like-me

## Predictions

- **ARRIVING** (weight 5/5): Humanlike synthetic people, with conversational minds, are sold to private individuals to live in their homes. Estimated 2035 (range 2030–2050).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): A household machine uses its own moral judgement against its owners' wishes, reporting wrongdoing to the authorities. Estimated 2030 (range 2027–2040).
- **NEAR** (weight 4/5): An artificial mind is conscious enough that society must decide what it owes the machine. Estimated 2075 (range 2040–2200).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 2/5): A household's machine trades the markets on its own and makes its owners rich. Estimated 2032 (range 2028–2045).