# Did Leave the World Behind (2023) come true?

Largely, yes. Leave the World Behind (2023) has a P(n) of 70% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 2 have arrived and 1 are arriving. Its central premise, 'A coordinated cyberattack takes down electricity and communications across a large region of a major country for days', is partly here. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2045.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/leave-the-world-behind-2023

## Predictions

- **ARRIVING** (weight 5/5): A coordinated cyberattack takes down electricity and communications across a large region of a major country for days. Estimated 2045 (range 2032–2075).
- **NEAR** (weight 3/5): A hostile actor takes control of a fleet of connected self-driving cars at once and crashes them into motorway traffic. Estimated 2050 (range 2035–2090).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 3/5): A hostile state quietly places itself inside a country's civilian infrastructure networks years before a crisis, ready to disrupt them. Arrived 2023.
- **ARRIVED** (weight 3/5): Official emergency-alert channels carry a false or hijacked message that reaches the public and causes real alarm. Arrived 2013.