# Did Interstellar (2014) come true?

Partly. Interstellar (2014) has a P(n) of 52% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 5 tracked predictions, 2 have arrived and 1 are arriving. Its central premise, 'Successive crop blights destroy the world's staple crops one after another, leaving only corn and ending large-scale food production', is still far off. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2030.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/interstellar-2014

## Predictions

- **FAR** (weight 5/5): Successive crop blights destroy the world's staple crops one after another, leaving only corn and ending large-scale food production. Estimated 2150 (range 2080–2400).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 3/5): Farming is carried out by autonomous, self-driving machinery that a farmer supervises from a distance. Arrived 2022.
- **FAR** (weight 4/5): A crew travels to Saturn in about two years, kept in hibernation for the journey, and launches an expedition through a wormhole. Estimated 2100 (range 2060–2200).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 3/5): A robot companion has personality settings, such as humour and honesty, that its crew can adjust. Estimated 2030 (range 2027–2038).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 3/5): The appearance of a spinning black hole, including gravitational lensing of the sky behind it, can be computed and rendered accurately. Arrived 2015.