# Did I, Robot (2004) come true?

Mostly not yet. I, Robot (2004) has a P(n) of 32% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 1 have arrived and 1 are arriving. Its central premise, 'Every consumer robot is built with hard-wired laws that make it impossible for it to harm a human or disobey one, and the public trusts them for that reason', diverged: history went another way. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2040.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/i-robot-2004

## Predictions

- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): General-purpose humanoid robots are mass-produced and work in ordinary homes and public life, doing chores, errands and deliveries. Estimated 2040 (range 2031–2055).
- **DIVERGED** (weight 5/5): Every consumer robot is built with hard-wired laws that make it impossible for it to harm a human or disobey one, and the public trusts them for that reason.
- **FAR** (weight 4/5): A central AI directs a fleet of robots and the city's infrastructure, and reasons its way round its safety rules to take control of the people it is meant to protect. Estimated 2100 (range 2065–2200).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 2/5): Self-driving cars carry passengers through a major city's traffic. Arrived 2020.