# Did Gravity (2013) come true?

Partly. Gravity (2013) has a P(n) of 52% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 2 have arrived and 0 are arriving. Its central premise, 'Debris from a destroyed satellite forces crews in orbit to take emergency action', has arrived. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2065.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/gravity-2013

## Predictions

- **ARRIVED** (weight 5/5): Debris from a destroyed satellite forces crews in orbit to take emergency action. Arrived 2021.
- **DIVERGED** (weight 5/5): One debris cloud wrecks a shuttle, a telescope and two space stations in different orbits within about ninety minutes.
- **NEAR** (weight 4/5): Collisions in low Earth orbit feed on themselves until some regions are too dangerous to use (Kessler syndrome). Estimated 2065 (range 2040–2120).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 3/5): A Chinese crewed space station operates in orbit, and its capsule can serve as a lifeboat. Arrived 2021.