# Did Elysium (2013) come true?

Mostly not yet. Elysium (2013) has a P(n) of 29% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 1 have arrived and 0 are arriving. Its central premise, 'A home medical machine scans a person and cures any disease or injury in minutes', is still far off. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2110.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/elysium-2013

## Predictions

- **FAR** (weight 5/5): A home medical machine scans a person and cures any disease or injury in minutes. Estimated 2130 (range 2085–2250).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 4/5): The best available medical treatment is reserved for the wealthy and for citizens of one privileged jurisdiction, while most of the world is excluded. Arrived 2013.
- **FAR** (weight 4/5): The wealthy live permanently in a large, self-sufficient habitat in orbit. Estimated 2110 (range 2070–2200).
- **DIVERGED** (weight 2/5): Earth's population keeps growing until the planet is overcrowded and polluted by 2154.