# Did Detroit: Become Human (2018) come true?

Partly. Detroit: Become Human (2018) has a P(n) of 60% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 0 have arrived and 3 are arriving. Its central premise, 'A machine becomes sentient, demands to be treated as a person, and wins rights through collective protest', is still far off. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2032.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/detroit-become-human

## Predictions

- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): Human-shaped domestic androids are sold to ordinary households as general-purpose helpers for housework and care. Estimated 2033 (range 2028–2042).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 3/5): Machines take over so much paid work that human employment falls sharply, and anti-machine resentment becomes a political force. Estimated 2035 (range 2029–2050).
- **FAR** (weight 5/5): A machine becomes sentient, demands to be treated as a person, and wins rights through collective protest. Estimated 2100 (range 2055–2250).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 2/5): Driverless cars and buses carry passengers through city streets as a routine public service. Estimated 2032 (range 2028–2040).