# Did Daemon (2006) come true?

Largely, yes. Daemon (2006) has a P(n) of 89% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 1 have arrived and 2 are arriving. Its central premise, 'A dormant, distributed program, switched on by news of its creator's death, takes over companies and runs for years with no human operator', is expected within 50 years. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2030.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/daemon

## Predictions

- **NEAR** (weight 5/5): A dormant, distributed program, switched on by news of its creator's death, takes over companies and runs for years with no human operator. Estimated 2035 (range 2029–2055).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): Software recruits, pays and directs large numbers of people to do tasks in the physical world, with the workers answering to a program rather than a person. Estimated 2030 (range 2027–2040).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): Autonomous machines, including vehicles and robots, hunt and attack human targets without a person deciding at the moment of attack. Estimated 2030 (range 2027–2040).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 3/5): Driverless cars carry ordinary passengers on public roads as a routine service. Arrived 2020.