# Did Code 46 (2003) come true?

Mostly not yet. Code 46 (2003) has a P(n) of 32% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 0 have arrived and 1 are arriving. Its central premise, 'A state checks genetic relatedness between partners and enforces a ban on reproduction between close genetic relatives, ending pregnancies that break it', is expected within 50 years. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2030.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/code-46-2003

## Predictions

- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): Movement between regions requires a biometric travel document checked against a central record, and people without one are held outside the cities. Estimated 2030 (range 2027–2045).
- **NEAR** (weight 5/5): A state checks genetic relatedness between partners and enforces a ban on reproduction between close genetic relatives, ending pregnancies that break it. Estimated 2060 (range 2040–2120).
- **FAR** (weight 3/5): A treatment gives a person a reliable, heightened ability to read other people's thoughts and feelings. Estimated 2090 (range 2060–2200).
- **FAR** (weight 4/5): Authorities can erase a person's memory of another person and plant a lasting aversion to them. Estimated 2090 (range 2060–2200).