# Did Blade Runner 2049 (2017) come true?

Partly. Blade Runner 2049 (2017) has a P(n) of 47% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 1 have arrived and 1 are arriving. Its central premise, 'Corporations manufacture bioengineered, humanlike artificial people as a disposable labour force', is still far off. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2032.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/blade-runner-2049-2017

## Predictions

- **FAR** (weight 5/5): Corporations manufacture bioengineered, humanlike artificial people as a disposable labour force. Estimated 2120 (range 2075–2200).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 4/5): People buy a customised AI companion that lives in their home, speaks to them as a partner and tells them what they want to hear. Arrived 2023.
- **ARRIVING** (weight 3/5): Employers routinely run psychological tests on workers in dangerous jobs, with job-ending consequences for failing. Estimated 2032 (range 2027–2045).
- **FAR** (weight 3/5): Made-to-order, detailed memories can be implanted in a person's brain. Estimated 2100 (range 2060–2200).