# Did Black Mirror: Metalhead (2017) come true?

Largely, yes. Black Mirror: Metalhead (2017) has a P(n) of 93% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 1 have arrived and 2 are arriving. Its central premise, 'A ground robot identifies a human being as a target and pursues and kills them without a person authorising that attack', is expected within 50 years. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2029.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/black-mirror-metalhead

## Predictions

- **ARRIVED** (weight 3/5): A commercially available four-legged robot can walk and run across rough ground, up slopes and over obstacles without a human steering each step. Arrived 2020.
- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): A four-legged robot carries a firearm and is used as a combat or security machine. Estimated 2029 (range 2026–2036).
- **NEAR** (weight 5/5): A ground robot identifies a human being as a target and pursues and kills them without a person authorising that attack. Estimated 2036 (range 2029–2050).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 3/5): A legged robot can chase a person across country for hours at speeds a human cannot match, and recharge itself without help. Estimated 2030 (range 2027–2038).