# Did Black Mirror: Men Against Fire (2016) come true?

Partly. Black Mirror: Men Against Fire (2016) has a P(n) of 49% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 1 have arrived and 1 are arriving. Its central premise, 'A neural implant rewrites in real time how soldiers perceive a group of people, so that humans look and sound like inhuman vermin', is still far off. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2030.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/black-mirror-men-against-fire

## Predictions

- **ARRIVING** (weight 3/5): Infantry wear head-mounted displays that overlay navigation and target data on their view of the battlefield. Estimated 2030 (range 2027–2040).
- **FAR** (weight 5/5): A neural implant rewrites in real time how soldiers perceive a group of people, so that humans look and sound like inhuman vermin. Estimated 2085 (range 2060–2150).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 4/5): Armed forces deliberately condition soldiers to overcome their reluctance to kill. Arrived 1950.
- **FAR** (weight 3/5): A soldier's memory of a specific act of killing can be selectively erased or reset, as a condition of continued service. Estimated 2080 (range 2055–2140).