# Did Black Mirror: Hated in the Nation (2016) come true?

Largely, yes. Black Mirror: Hated in the Nation (2016) has a P(n) of 79% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 1 have arrived and 2 are arriving. Its central premise, 'A hashtag-driven online pile-on can single out a named individual for sustained, escalating abuse by large numbers of anonymous participants', has arrived. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2031.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/black-mirror-hated-in-the-nation

## Predictions

- **ARRIVED** (weight 5/5): A hashtag-driven online pile-on can single out a named individual for sustained, escalating abuse by large numbers of anonymous participants. Arrived 2014.
- **NEAR** (weight 3/5): Insect-sized autonomous flying robots replace bees as pollinators across a whole country. Estimated 2060 (range 2045–2085).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 3/5): A government deploys swarms of small drones with facial recognition for routine mass surveillance of a city. Estimated 2031 (range 2028–2042).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): A swarm of small autonomous drones can be sent to find and kill specific people from a list without a human choosing each one. Estimated 2032 (range 2028–2045).