# Did Black Mirror: Crocodile (2017) come true?

Partly. Black Mirror: Crocodile (2017) has a P(n) of 64% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 3 have arrived and 0 are arriving. Its central premise, 'A device can reconstruct the images in a person's visual memory and play them on a screen', is expected within 50 years. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2075.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/black-mirror-crocodile

## Predictions

- **NEAR** (weight 5/5): A device can reconstruct the images in a person's visual memory and play them on a screen. Estimated 2075 (range 2055–2110).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 3/5): Insurers investigating a claim draw on witnesses' and claimants' personal data, and people routinely let them. Arrived 2016.
- **ARRIVED** (weight 2/5): Driverless vehicles operate on public roads, carrying goods or passengers, and sometimes hit pedestrians. Arrived 2023.
- **ARRIVED** (weight 3/5): Investigators use smells, sounds and prompts from the scene to strengthen a witness's recall, and know that suggestion can change what the witness remembers. Arrived 1984.
