# Did Autonomous (2017) come true?

Partly. Autonomous (2017) has a P(n) of 43% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 0 have arrived and 2 are arriving. Its central premise, 'Machines with human-level minds exist and are held as legal property who can be indentured, owned or freed', is still far off. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2032.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/autonomous

## Predictions

- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): Individuals can synthesise patented drugs on demand in small improvised labs and distribute them outside the patent system. Estimated 2032 (range 2028–2045).
- **NEAR** (weight 3/5): A commercial drug makes work itself feel pleasurable and is deliberately engineered to be addictive. Estimated 2065 (range 2045–2110).
- **ARRIVING** (weight 4/5): Legal indenture binds workers to employers as property for years, with the contract treated as a tradable asset. Estimated 2035 (range 2028–2060).
- **FAR** (weight 5/5): Machines with human-level minds exist and are held as legal property who can be indentured, owned or freed. Estimated 2100 (range 2070–2200).