# Did Advantageous (2015) come true?

Partly. Advantageous (2015) has a P(n) of 57% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 2 have arrived and 1 are arriving. Its central premise, 'A person's consciousness and memories can be moved out of one body and into another, younger one', is still far off. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2040.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/advantageous-2015

## Predictions

- **FAR** (weight 5/5): A person's consciousness and memories can be moved out of one body and into another, younger one. Estimated 2150 (range 2090–2300).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 4/5): Cosmetic procedures are a mass-market product, and a woman who looks older is judged less employable for a visible role. Arrived 2015.
- **ARRIVING** (weight 3/5): Fertility falls so far that falling birth rates and infertility become a mass public concern, and the wider economy reorganises around it. Estimated 2040 (range 2032–2065).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 2/5): Paid egg donation is an ordinary job option for a woman in financial difficulty. Arrived 2016.