# Did 12 Monkeys (1995) come true?

Mostly not yet. 12 Monkeys (1995) has a P(n) of 38% on Nearfi's P(n) Board, our estimate of the chance its future arrives within 20 years. Of its 4 tracked predictions, 1 have arrived and 1 are arriving. Its central premise, 'People can be sent backwards in time to gather information that changes decisions in the present', is still far off. The next prediction is estimated to arrive around 2029.

Source: https://nearfi.co/predictions/12-monkeys-1995

## Predictions

- **FAR** (weight 5/5): People can be sent backwards in time to gather information that changes decisions in the present. Estimated 2200 (range 2100–2600).
- **FAR** (weight 4/5): A single pandemic kills about 99 per cent of the human population within two years. Estimated 2150 (range 2070–2400).
- **ARRIVED** (weight 3/5): A novel virus spreads across the world within months and is recognised as a global pandemic. Arrived 2020.
- **ARRIVING** (weight 2/5): Governments and institutions dismiss credible warnings about an outbreak until it is too late, and nobody holds a binding system for responding to one. Estimated 2029 (range 2026–2035).